04.12.202508:25 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on December 4

Bitcoin approached the $94,000 level but has not yet held a position above it. Ethereum surpassed the mark of $3,100.

Amid the relative stability in the cryptocurrency market, BlackRock issued a new forecast for 2026, warning that rising economic instability in the U.S. and the relentless growth of government debt will reduce the effectiveness of long-term Treasury bonds as traditional hedging tools. This may lead to broader adoption of digital assets such as BTC. The report also highlights the growing role of tokenization and stablecoins as key infrastructure linking traditional finance with the digital economy.

Such a scenario predicted by one of the world's largest asset managers indicates a fundamental shift in the perception of investment risk. Traditional instruments, long considered a "safe haven," are losing their appeal amid macroeconomic challenges, paving the way for alternative asset classes. In this context, increased interest in digital assets, particularly Bitcoin, is driven not only by its decentralized nature but also by its potential as a hedge against inflation and the devaluation of fiat currencies. "In conditions where trust in traditional financial institutions is weakening, BTC may become an attractive alternative for investors looking to preserve and grow their capital," noted the report.

However, despite the optimistic forecasts, it is essential to remember that the cryptocurrency market remains volatile and unpredictable. Traders should carefully analyze risks and invest only what they can afford to lose.

Regarding intraday strategies for the cryptocurrency market, I will continue to act based on any significant pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum, anticipating the continuation of a bullish market in the medium term, which has not vanished.

As for short-term trading, the strategy and conditions are described below.

Bitcoin

Buy Scenario:

• Scenario #1: I will buy Bitcoin today when it reaches an entry point around $93,500, targeting a move to $95,200. Around $95,200, I will exit my purchases and sell immediately on a rebound. Before buying on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome indicator is above zero.
• Scenario #2: I can buy Bitcoin from the lower boundary of $92,500 if there is no market reaction to its breach, targeting levels of $93,500 and $95,200.

Sell Scenario:

• Scenario #1: I will sell Bitcoin today when it reaches an entry point around $92,500, targeting a drop to $91,000. At around $91,000, I will exit my sales and buy immediately on a rebound. Before selling on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome indicator is below zero.
• Scenario #2: I can sell Bitcoin at the upper boundary of $93,500 if there is no market reaction to its breach, targeting $92,500 and $91,000.

Ethereum

Buy Scenario:

• Scenario #1: I will buy Ethereum today when it reaches an entry point around $3,210, targeting a move to $3,293. At around $3,293, I will exit my purchases and sell immediately on a rebound. Before buying on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome indicator is above zero.
• Scenario #2: I can buy Ethereum from the lower boundary of $3,165 if there is no market reaction to its breach, targeting levels of $3,210 and $3,293.

Sell Scenario:

• Scenario #1: I will sell Ethereum today when it reaches an entry point around $3,165, targeting a drop to $3,095. At around $3,095, I will exit my sales and buy immediately on a rebound. Before selling on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome indicator is below zero.
• Scenario #2: I can sell Ethereum from the upper boundary of $3,210 if there is no market reaction to its breach, targeting levels of $3,165 and $3,095.