हमारी टीम के पास 7,000,000 से अधिक ट्रेडर हैं!
प्रतिदिन हम ट्रेडिंग को बेहतर बनाने के लिए एक साथ काम करते हैं। हम उच्च परिणाम प्राप्त कर रहे हैं और आगे की ओर बढ़ रहे हैं।
दुनियाभर के लाखों लोगों द्वारा हमारे काम को पहचानना, हमारे काम की सबसे अच्छी सराहना है! आपने आपनी पसंद बनाई है और हम आपकी अपेक्षाओं को पूरा करने के लिए हर संभव प्रयास करेंगे!
हम एक साथ एक अच्छी टीम हैं!
इंस्टाफॉरेक्स को इस बात का गर्व है कि वह आपके लिए काम कर रहा है!
एक्टर, यूएफसी 6 टूर्नामेंट का विजेता और एक सच्चा हीरो!
वह आदमी, जिसने अपनी मेहनत से सब किया है। वह आदमी, जो हमारे रास्तों पर चलता है.
टैक्टारोव की सफलता का राज लक्ष्य की ओर लगातर अग्रसर रहना है।
अपनी प्रतिभा के सभी पक्षों को प्रकट करें!
खोज करें, कोशिश करें, विफल हो-लेकिन कभी न रूकें!
इंस्टाफॉरेक्स- हमारी सफलताओं की कहानी यहाँ से शुरू होती है!
The EUR/USD pair declined by 150 points last week and has fallen by another 130 points so far this week. What is driving such aggressive bearish pressure? At the moment, there is no talk of a renewed war in the Middle East, although Donald Trump threatened on Monday to launch new strikes against Iran if a nuclear agreement is not signed within the next 60 days. The Federal Reserve adopted a more hawkish tone at its June meeting, but a full week has already passed, and the bears continue to press their advantage as if the Fed had raised rates only yesterday. The ECB's stance at its latest meeting could hardly be described as dovish enough to justify a week-long decline in the euro.
Negotiations between Tehran and Washington have begun, and both sides have two months to resolve the nuclear dispute. The very fact that a temporary ceasefire agreement was signed last week should be viewed as a positive development. However, traders are not simply holding the dollar as a safe-haven asset in case tensions in the Middle East escalate again. They continued to buy it aggressively, as if the conflict had already resumed and, in addition to a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait had also been closed.
The downward move has been so strong that price has not even attempted to rebalance into the nearest inefficiency zones (imbalances), of which there are already two. As a result, traders currently have no valid trading signals despite the sharp decline. In my view, there are currently no fundamental reasons whatsoever for such a pronounced fall in EUR/USD.
Geopolitics finally moved into the background last week. Tehran and Washington signed a memorandum of understanding, extended the ceasefire for another 60 days, and began working on reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Nuclear negotiations started on Sunday in Switzerland. We did not see the expected decline in the dollar amid easing geopolitical tensions. Nor did we see euro strength despite the ECB's tighter monetary stance. Bears continue to maintain control regardless of the fundamental and geopolitical backdrop. In such circumstances, the only option is to wait for the bearish campaign to end—or at least for new sell signals to emerge.
The current chart structure indicates that the bearish impulse that began on April 17 remains intact. Bearish imbalance No. 17 was not retested and did not generate a sell signal. Yesterday, another bearish imbalance, No. 18, was formed, which may trigger a price reaction today or tomorrow. Only if imbalance No. 18 is invalidated will bulls be able to launch a meaningful counteroffensive. Until then, there are no grounds to expect a strong recovery in the euro.
Thursday's economic backdrop favored the bears, although they hardly needed any assistance. In fact, only one report stood out: U.S. first-quarter GDP, which came in stronger than traders had expected at 2.1% year-on-year versus the forecast of 1.6%. All other reports matched market expectations. As a result, bears could have pushed EUR/USD even lower today, but the pair managed to avoid another major sell-off.
Bulls still have plenty of reasons to attack in 2026, and the conflict in the Middle East has not diminished them. Structurally and globally, Trump's policies—which led to a significant decline in the dollar last year—have not changed. At present, I do not see any serious sources of support for the U.S. dollar, despite the FOMC's hawkish stance.
EUR/USD has now approached a series of significant lows and swing points where liquidity may be collected. Such liquidity grabs could serve as a signal for a reversal of the current bearish impulse.
News Calendar for the United States and the European Union:
The economic calendar for June 26 contains only one release, and it is not among the most important. Therefore, the impact of the economic backdrop on market sentiment on Friday may be minimal or entirely absent.
EUR/USD Forecast and Trading Tips:
In my view, the pair remains within the broader formation stage of a bullish trend. The fundamental backdrop shifted sharply in favor of the bears four months ago, but the overall trend cannot yet be considered canceled or completed. Therefore, bulls may well launch a new advance after liquidity is collected below clearly defined lows. However, opening long positions at the current stage is not advisable. First, the bearish impulse needs to end and bullish patterns need to emerge.
At present, traders have two bearish imbalances available that can be used as potential areas for short positions. However, I would draw attention to the proximity of four significant swing points where liquidity may be collected, as well as the relatively weak fundamental justification for the recent strength of the U.S. dollar. Therefore, I continue to expect a bullish recovery, but it is important to obtain at least some chart-based confirmation. Otherwise, traders should wait for new sell signals to emerge.
*यहां पर लिखा गया बाजार विश्लेषण आपकी जागरूकता बढ़ाने के लिए किया है, लेकिन व्यापार करने के लिए निर्देश देने के लिए नहीं |
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