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On Tuesday, silver (XAG/USD) traded at the same price as on Monday, as investors await the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision to be announced on Wednesday.
The market is also cautiously monitoring the diplomatic situation between the United States and Iran. US President Donald Trump stated that the text of the agreement will be published in the coming days, and the Strait of Hormuz should be fully opened by Friday.
At the same time, representatives of Hezbollah reported that they received assurances from Tehran that the final nuclear agreement will not be signed without the withdrawal of Israeli troops from Lebanon.
The relative improvement in the geopolitical situation reduces demand for safe-haven assets. However, the impact on the precious metals market remains moderate, as investors prefer to wait for more detailed information before making significant changes to their trading strategies.
Additionally, the drop in oil prices is supporting market sentiment. The decline in energy prices may help reduce global inflationary pressure, providing central banks with additional opportunities to revisit their monetary policies in the coming months. Meanwhile, the US dollar is facing pressure.
Recent employment data showed that private employers in the US added an average of 25,500 jobs per week over the four weeks ending May 30, down from the previously reported 29,000. The slowdown in hiring rates reinforces expectations of a less active labor market, limiting support for the dollar.
The weakness of the US dollar creates additional conditions for increasing the attractiveness of silver among investors using other currencies.
For better trading opportunities, attention should now be focused on the Fed's statement and updated economic forecasts, which will help clarify future changes in interest rates. Like gold (XAU/USD), silver typically benefits from lower interest rates, as it does not yield income. Any hints that the Fed is unlikely to raise rates this year may continue to support the price of the precious metal in the coming weeks.
From a technical perspective, prices are trading at $70. The nearest support is provided by the 9-day EMA, while the main support lies in the 200-day EMA and SMA. If these levels do not hold, prices may accelerate their decline towards the June low around the round level of $61. The nearest resistance remains at the round level of $72, along with the 20-day SMA, which is slightly above it. If this resistance is broken, bulls will have a greater chance of further growth. However, as long as oscillators remain negative, bears hold the advantage.
*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.
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