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The GBP/USD pair rose sharply on Wednesday, with the move not linked to any macroeconomic reports. The price broke through the descending trendline and formed a new ascending trendline. Thus, the trend for the British pound sterling has shifted to an upward trajectory, which can be considered solid. The only question is how long it will last. Recall that in recent weeks, the pound has faced numerous challenges, but every difficult period eventually comes to an end. The macroeconomic and fundamental backdrop for the dollar is no better, so we do not expect a strong strengthening of the American currency. However, there are very few scheduled events and reports this week, so beginner traders will have to pay more attention to technical factors. Currently, the technical analysis indicates growth for the British currency.
On the 5-minute timeframe, five notable trading signals were formed on Wednesday. Early in the night, the pair perfectly bounced from the area of 1.3484-1.3489, although this signal was difficult to capitalize on for understandable reasons. During the European trading session, the pair also bounced perfectly from the level of 1.3529, then from the area of 1.3484-1.3489, and once again from 1.3529, before eventually breaking through the area of 1.3484-1.3489. Thus, traders had the opportunity to open at least 4 trades during the day, 3 of which were profitable.
On the hourly timeframe, the GBP/USD pair broke the downward trend and is ready for growth. There are no global reasons for medium-term dollar growth; therefore, we expect the global upward trend from 2025 to continue in 2026, which could push the pair to the 1.4000 mark at a minimum. In recent weeks, the situation has often played against the British currency, and the market has frequently ignored negative news from America.
On Thursday, beginner traders may consider holding long positions following a buy signal from the 1.3529-1.3543 area, targeting 1.3643-1.3652. A price consolidation below the area of 1.3529-1.3543 will allow for opening short positions with a target of 1.3484-1.3489.
On the 5-minute timeframe, levels to consider include 1.3319-1.3331, 1.3365, 1.3403-1.3407, 1.3437-1.3446, 1.3484-1.3489, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3643-1.3652, 1.3695, 1.3741-1.3751, 1.3814-1.3832, 1.3891-1.3912, and 1.3975. On Thursday, there are no significant events or reports scheduled in the UK, and only a jobless claims report is expected in the U.S. The upward trend is now in place, but volatility today may be low.
*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.
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