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The GBP/USD pair also rose on Tuesday, driven by the same factors that were influencing the European currency. A few days ago, the descending trend line was broken; macroeconomic data yesterday were unfavorable for the US dollar; and, in the long term (despite a prolonged correction), an upward trend remains. The global fundamental backdrop remains favorable to the British pound, despite disappointing economic data over the last month and confusion about the 2026 budget. However, persistent budget issues cannot keep pulling down the British currency, and British data are currently not much worse than American ones, which are also faltering repeatedly. Thus, we continue to expect only growth from the pair. The question is whether the global downward correction on the daily timeframe has completed. If so, the ascent to the level of $1.40 begins now.
On the hourly timeframe, the GBP/USD pair completed another downward trend. An upward movement has begun, and we hope it will not end as quickly as all previous trends on the hourly timeframe. As we've mentioned, there are no global reasons for prolonged dollar strength, so in the medium term, we expect movement only to the upside. However, the correction/flat on the daily timeframe may not be over, and the local macroeconomic background regularly impacts the British pound, hindering traders from buying.
On Wednesday, novice traders can expect new trading signals to form in the 1.3203-1.3211 range. A price bounce from this area will allow for short positions targeting 1.3107, while a consolidation above it will mean long positions targeting 1.3259.
On the 5-minute timeframe, trading can currently be done at levels 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3096-1.3107, 1.3203-1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329-1.3331, 1.3413-1.3421, 1.3466-1.3475, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3574-1.3590. On Wednesday, there are no interesting events planned in the UK, while the US will release a fairly important report on durable goods orders.
Important announcements and reports (always available in the news calendar) can significantly impact the movement of the currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is recommended to trade with maximum caution or to exit the market to avoid sharp reversals against the preceding movement.
Beginners trading on the Forex market should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and money management is key to long-term success in trading.
*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.
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