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The GBP/USD pair traded sideways on Tuesday with minimal volatility. No important events or reports were scheduled for yesterday, and the flat movement is clearly visible from a kilometer away. The price has been trading between 1.3107 and 1.3203 for over a week, making trading purely based on rebounds from the boundaries of the sideways channel the only option for opening positions. Unfortunately, market movements are currently so weak that the price doesn't always even reach the boundaries of the channel. Consequently, the market is in a total standstill at this time. The market is clearly waiting for important macroeconomic information from the U.S. and preparing for a new trend. Market makers are currently occupied with accumulating new positions, which are most likely long positions. We remind novice traders that a flat is merely the calm before the storm. It is quite possible that when the U.S. begins publishing all the missed labor-market and unemployment reports, the market will awaken. It remains extremely difficult to expect the dollar to grow in the medium term.
On the 5-minute timeframe, no trading signals were formed on Tuesday. The price did not approach any levels throughout the day, and the overall volatility was around 40 pips. Thus, there were no grounds for opening positions for novice traders.
On the hourly timeframe, the GBP/USD pair has broken the trend line, so in the coming weeks, we expect the British currency to rise on any local news and reports. As mentioned earlier, there are no global grounds for prolonged dollar growth, so we expect upward movement only in the medium term. If the correction/flat on the daily timeframe is completed, the pair could resume the global upward trend for 2025. However, we must also wait for the flat to end on the hourly timeframe.
On Wednesday, novice traders can expect new trading signals to form in the areas of 1.3096-1.3107 and 1.3203-1.3211, as these are the boundaries of the sideways channel.
On the 5-minute timeframe, the following levels should be considered for trading: 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3096-1.3107, 1.3203-1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329-1.3331, 1.3413-1.3421, 1.3466-1.3475, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3574-1.3590. An important inflation report for October is scheduled for release in the UK on Wednesday, but even this report may only lead to a spike in volatility, while the flat will likely remain. In the evening, the minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting will be published, which holds extremely low significance for the market.
Important announcements and reports (always available in the news calendar) can significantly impact the movement of the currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is recommended to trade with maximum caution or to exit the market to avoid sharp reversals against the preceding movement.
Beginners trading on the Forex market should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and money management is key to long-term success in trading.
*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.
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