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Last Friday, the US dollar slightly weakened against its competitors. The reason lies on the dollar index (DXY), which declined from 91.96 to 91.60.
It should be noted that the Dollar Index (DXY) is the ratio of the US dollar (USD) to a basket of six currencies and is a weighted average of the dollar versus the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK) and Swiss franc (CHF).
In this case, the fall of the DXY index leads to a weakening of the US dollar.
For the economic calendar, several countries published statistics at the end of the last week. First, the UK released its data on industrial production, whose decline surged from -3.3% to -4.9%, against the expected -4.0%. This disappointing scenario in the country pushed the pound sterling down in the morning. We can note that aside from the volume of industrial production, GDP figures were published, which reflected a further collapse in the economy from -8.6% to -9.2%.
After that, European data came out. The volume of industrial production accelerated to 0.1%, with a recent decline of -0.2%. In this case, the Euro currency slowed down its weakening and slightly moved into strengthening.
The US statistics completed the rally, where producer prices were published. Here, they recorded an acceleration from 1.7% to 2.8%, against the forecast of 2.7%. This is indeed good data, but the market hardly reacted.
What happened on the trading chart?
The EUR/USD pair found periodic support around the level of 1.1910, where there was a stagnation last Friday, followed by a pullback of 50 points. It is worth considering that the quote follows the structure of the correction course from the peak of the medium-term trend, where sellers still have a chance to decline further.
The GBP/USD pair successfully rebounded from the psychological level of 1.4000, which led to a decline towards the coordinate 1.3862. From this area, a new cycle of stagnation-pullback has already emerged. There was a certain impact on the market participants from the psychological area, which may positively affect the volume of short positions in the market.
Trading recommendations for EUR/USD and GBP/USD on March 15
Today, there will be no statistics worth paying attention to for the main countries. Therefore, the market will continue to adhere to the technical scenario.
Looking at the trading chart of the EUR/USD pair, it can be seen that there is a recovery in the volume of short positions relative to the recent pullback. There will be an increased interest from the sellers once the price holds below the level of 1.1900 in the H4 time frame.
If a decline occurs again, we will not rule out an amplitude fluctuation within the area of 1.1910/1.1950.
As for the trading chart of the GBP/USD pair, it is shown that sellers are making an attempt to continue the downward trend, but so far, it looks like a variable bumpiness. The main volume of short positions will appear after the price holds below the 1.3862 mark.
*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.
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