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28.01.202111:37 Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/USD Hot Forecast for 28 January, 2021

  • AUD/USD witnessed some follow-through selling for the second consecutive session on Thursday.
  • Attempted recovery move is likely to confront stiff resistance near the 0.7660 support breakpoint.
  • The risk-off mood underpinned the safe-haven USD and weighed on the perceived riskier aussie.

Exchange Rates 28.01.2021 analysis

The AUD/USD pair added to the previous day's losses and witnessed some heavy selling for the second consecutive session on Thursday. The downward trajectory dragged the pair to fresh one-month lows during the first half of the European session, with bears now looking to extend the momentum further below the 0.7600 mark.

From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair on Wednesday decisively broke through a short-term ascending trend-line support extending from early November. A subsequent slide below the 23.6% Fibonacci level of the 0.6990-0.7820 strong positive move might have already set the stage for additional near-term weakness.

The downward trajectory might then drag the AUD/USD pair towards the key 0.7500 psychological mark. The mentioned level coincides with the 38.2% Fibo. level, which if broken decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. This, in turn, would pave the way for an extension of the ongoing corrective slide.

On the flip side, any attempted recovery runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly near the 0.7660 horizontal support breakpoint. This, in turn, should now act as a strong barrier, which if cleared decisively might trigger some short-covering move and push the AUD/USD pair back towards the 0.7700 round-figure mark.

*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.

Jan Novotny,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
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