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22.12.202508:19 विदेशी मुद्रा विश्लेषण और समीक्षा: Intraday Strategies for Beginner Traders on December 22

The euro and the British pound maintained their positions against the U.S. dollar, unlike the Japanese yen, which fell sharply.

However, the dollar still faced pressure after disappointing data from the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index, but this did not lead to any drastic market changes. Participants likely decided to wait for more significant economic indicators. Clarity regarding the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy remains crucial to restraining active trading.

Today, there is no data from the Eurozone, so significant market movements are not expected in the first half of the day. However, this calm before the storm can be deceptive. Markets possess an astonishing ability to anticipate, and may already be pricing in upcoming events. Traders' attention might shift to other regions. Furthermore, we should not overlook the geopolitical situation. Any unexpected news or escalation of tensions in the various areas of the world could trigger a flight to safe-haven assets.

As for the pound, important reports on the UK's third-quarter GDP volume and the current account balance are expected in the first half of the day. These macroeconomic indicators will provide fresh insights into the state of the British economy. The change in GDP for the third quarter will serve as a key indicator to assess how successfully the UK is managing high inflation and high rates. It is clear that nothing good is expected from GDP. The report on the current account balance will reflect the difference between the country's exports and imports. A current account deficit may indicate that a country spends more than it earns, which could lead to a decline in the value of its national currency and other economic problems. Conversely, a surplus may indicate a strong export orientation and a stable economic position.

If the data aligns with economists' expectations, it is best to act based on the Mean Reversion strategy. If the data is significantly above or below expectations, the Momentum strategy is preferred.

Momentum Strategy (Breakout):

For the EUR/USD Pair

• Buying on a breakout at 1.1730 may lead to a rise in the euro to approximately 1.1755 and 1.1776;
• Selling on a breakout at 1.1710 may lead to a drop in the euro to approximately 1.1690 and 1.1660;

For the GBP/USD Pair

• Buying on a breakout at 1.3405 may lead to a rise in the pound to approximately 1.3426 and 1.3452;
• Selling on a breakout at 1.3380 may lead to a drop in the pound to approximately 1.3340 and 1.3322;

For the USD/JPY Pair

• Buying on a breakout at 157.40 may lead to a rise in the dollar to approximately 157.70 and 157.90;
• Selling on a breakout at 155.20 may lead to a drop in the dollar to approximately 156.68 and 156.30;

Mean Reversion Strategy (Pullback):

For the EUR/USD Pair

• Look for short positions after a failed breakout above 1.1730 on a pullback below this level;
• Look for long positions after a failed breakout below 1.1709 on a pullback to this level;

For the GBP/USD Pair

• Look for shorts after a failed breakout above 1.3408 on a pullback below this level;
• Look for longs after a failed breakout below 1.3384 on a pullback to this level;

For the AUD/USD Pair

• Look for shorts after a failed breakout above 0.6636 on a pullback below this level;
• Look for longs after a failed breakout below 0.6616 on a pullback to this level;

For the USD/CAD Pair

• Look for shorts after a failed breakout above 1.3805 on a pullback below this level;
• Look for longs after a failed breakout below 1.3781 on a pullback to this level;

*यहां पर लिखा गया बाजार विश्लेषण आपकी जागरूकता बढ़ाने के लिए किया है, लेकिन व्यापार करने के लिए निर्देश देने के लिए नहीं |

Miroslaw Bawulski,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
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