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विदेशी मुद्रा विश्लेषण

Fundamental analysis

26.11.202507:02 विदेशी मुद्रा विश्लेषण और समीक्षा: What to Pay Attention to on November 26? Analysis of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports:

Few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday, and even fewer are significant. Essentially, only the durable goods orders report in the United States can be highlighted. This report is important because these goods are expensive and, therefore, reflect long-term expectations and confidence among American consumers. Additionally, a secondary indicator of unemployment claims will be released, which is unlikely to attract serious interest. In the European Union and the UK, event calendars are empty today.

Analysis of Fundamental Events:

There are also a few fundamental events scheduled for Wednesday. In the European Union, there will be speeches from the European Central Bank's chief economist, Philip Lane, and ECB President Christine Lagarde. However, it should be noted that, at this time, traders have virtually no questions for the ECB. The ECB has successfully battled high inflation, so there are currently no issues with rising price levels, unlike the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. As such, there is no reason to raise or lower the key interest rate either. No speeches from representatives of the BoE or the Fed are scheduled for today.

General Conclusions:

During the third trading day of the week, both currency pairs will tend to rise, as upward trends have begun to form in both cases. The euro has an excellent trading area at 1.1571-1.1584. The British pound has a trading area at 1.3203-1.3211. Volatility yesterday was higher than usual, and we can only hope that another flat trend does not begin today.

Key Principles of My Trading System:

The strength of the signal is considered based on the time taken to form the signal (bounce or breach of a level). The less time taken, the stronger the signal.
If two or more trades have been opened around a certain level based on false signals, all subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.
In a flat market, any pair can create numerous false signals or may not form them at all. In any case, it's best to stop trading at the first signs of a flat.
Trading deals are opened during the period between the start of the European session and the middle of the American session, after which all deals should be closed manually.
On the hourly timeframe, it is preferable to trade based on signals from the MACD indicator only when there is good volatility and a trend that is confirmed by a trend line or trend channel.
If two levels are too close to each other (between 5 and 20 pips), they should be treated as an area of support or resistance.
After a 15-20-pip move in the right direction, a Stop Loss should be set to breakeven.

What the Charts Show:

Support and resistance price levels are targets for opening buy or sell positions. Take Profit levels can be placed around them.
Red lines indicate trend channels or trend lines, reflecting the current trend and indicating the preferred trading direction.
The MACD indicator (14,22,3) — histogram and signal line — is a supplementary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals.

Important announcements and reports (always available in the news calendar) can significantly impact the movement of the currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is recommended to trade with maximum caution or to exit the market to avoid sharp reversals against the preceding movement.

Beginners trading on the Forex market should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and money management is key to long-term success in trading.

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