A lenda da equipe InstaSpot!
Lenda! Você acha que isso é retórica bombástica? Mas como devemos chamar um homem que se tornou o primeiro asiático a vencer o campeonato mundial de xadrez aos 18 anos e que se tornou o primeiro grande mestre indiano aos 19? Esse foi o começo de um caminho difícil para o título de campeão do mundo para Viswanathan Anand, o homem que se tornou parte da história do xadrez para sempre. Agora mais uma lenda na equipe InstaSpot!
O Borussia é um dos clubes de futebol com mais títulos da Alemanha, que provou repetidamente aos fãs: o espírito de competição e liderança certamente levará ao sucesso. Negocie da mesma maneira que os profissionais do esporte jogam: com confiança e ativamente. Mantenha o "ritmo" do Borussia FC e esteja na liderança com a InstaSpot!
I certainly cannot conclude that all of Trump's decisions in 2025 were aimed at lowering the dollar's exchange rate. Instead, this is a pleasant bonus to the American president's policies. However, if certain decisions by Trump were subtly geared towards reducing the dollar's attractiveness to market participants, then he truly deserves a Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences.
In reality, I do not believe the plan was for the dollar to sharply decrease in 2025. Looking at charts from the past 20-25 years, it becomes clear that even a collapse of the American currency in 2025 would not constitute an actual long-term collapse. In 2008, 1 euro cost $1.60. Last year, it fell almost to parity with the American currency. Thus, over 16 years, the euro has become 40% cheaper. It took the euro 16 years to incur such losses. And not all of this time did the European currency experience a decline.
Therefore, a 10-12% decrease in the value of the U.S. dollar this year is a pleasant bonus. However, it is insufficient to correct the chronic trade balance deficit of the U.S. Economists note that the new presidential administration has achieved an unprecedented phenomenon of stock market growth and dollar depreciation through currency risk hedging. In simple terms, investors actively bought American securities (especially amid the AI boom) because they did not want to miss out on profits. However, at the same time, they hedged their risks due to the uncertain prospects of Donald Trump's policies through dollar sales.
In 2026, for the same reasons, a similar picture may emerge. Investors will continue to hedge their risks through dollar sales. Major central banks around the world are reducing their dollar reserves. New trade conflicts will further increase investors' desire to hedge.
Trump also has another card up his sleeve. This card is the Fed. The leader of the White House needs not only a positive trade balance, strong industry, and high export volumes, but also high economic growth rates, which are much easier to achieve with low interest rates. And low rates from the central bank have always meant a decline in demand for that country's currency. Consequently, 2026 may become the "final battle between Trump and the Fed."
Based on the conducted analysis of EUR/USD, I conclude that the instrument continues to build an upward section of the trend. Over the last few months, the market has paused, but Donald Trump's policies and the Federal Reserve's remain significant factors in the future decline of the American currency. The targets of the current trend section may extend to the 25th figure. Currently, construction of corrective wave 4 continues, taking on a highly complex, elongated form. Its latest internal structure—a-b-c-d-e—is close to completion or has already been completed. Therefore, I am once again considering long positions with targets set around the 19th figure.
The wave picture for the GBP/USD instrument has changed. We are still dealing with an upward, impulsive section of the trend, but its internal wave structure is becoming more complex. Wave 4 has taken a three-wave form, and its structure appears to be very elongated. The bearish corrective structure a-b-c-d-e in c in 4 is presumably nearing completion. I expect the main wave structure to resume building with initial targets around the 38 and 40 figures.
*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.
InstaSpot analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaSpot client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.
