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09.12.202513:18 ফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণ এবং পর্যালোচনা: GBP/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders on December 9th (U.S. Session)

Trade Review and Advice for Trading the British Pound

The test of the 1.3337 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by just over 15 points.

Pound buyers became active despite the lack of significant fundamental data from the UK. Traders are betting that the regulator will be forced to maintain a wait-and-see stance on interest rates, despite concerns about slowing UK GDP growth, in order to keep persistently high inflation under control.

In the second half of the day, we expect the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, as well as a new economic indicator — the weekly ADP employment change. In addition, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). The NFIB index provides insight into the sentiment of small business owners, a vital component of the U.S. economy and a key influence on its overall health. A rise in the index often supports the U.S. dollar.

The weekly ADP employment change is viewed as an early signal ahead of the official U.S. Department of Labor employment report. Weekly ADP data cover a significant portion of the private sector but are far more volatile than the monthly report. The JOLTS report provides deeper insight into labor market dynamics than just job creation figures, including data on job openings, hires, layoffs, and quits. A high number of job openings may indicate a shortage of qualified workers and signal that companies are confident in growth and actively expanding. Strong data tend to benefit the U.S. dollar.

For intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on Scenarios #1 and #2.

Buy Signal

Scenario #1: I plan to buy the pound today upon reaching the entry point around 1.3348 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.3374 (thicker green line). Near 1.3374, I will exit long positions and open shorts in the opposite direction (expecting a 30–35-point move in reverse). A rise in the pound today can be expected only after weak U.S. data. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and only beginning to rise from it.

Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.3323 price while the MACD is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a reversal upward. A rise toward the opposite levels of 1.3348 and 1.3374 can be expected.

Sell Signal

Scenario #1: I plan to sell the pound today after the level of 1.3323 (red line on the chart) is broken, which should lead to a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 1.3285, where I will exit short positions and immediately open longs in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25-point rebound). Pressure on the pound may return today if U.S. data are strong. Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and only beginning to move downward from it.

Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound today in the event of two consecutive tests of 1.3348 while the MACD is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a reversal downward. A decline toward 1.3323 and 1.3285 can be expected.

Chart Notes

• Thin green line – entry price for buying the trading instrument.
• Thick green line – suggested price for placing Take Profit or manually fixing profit, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
• Thin red line – entry price for selling the trading instrument.
• Thick red line – suggested price for placing Take Profit or manually fixing profit, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
• MACD indicator – when entering the market, rely on overbought and oversold zones.

Important

Beginner Forex traders should be extremely cautious when making entry decisions. Before major fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sudden price swings. If you choose to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you ignore money management and trade large volumes.

And remember: successful trading requires a clear trading plan like the one provided above. Spontaneous decisions based solely on the current market situation are an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

*এখানে পোস্ট করা মার্কেট বিশ্লেষণ আপনার সচেতনতা বৃদ্ধির জন্য প্রদান করা হয়, ট্রেড করার নির্দেশনা প্রদানের জন্য প্রদান করা হয় না।

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025

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